Tau Altopascio vs Corticella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
3º
3º
22
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
88% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tau Altopascio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ASD
9%
14%
77%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
RIC
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IMO
2 - 3
ASD
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
4 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
COR
3 - 3
RIC
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PIA
2 - 0
COR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 3
IMO
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |