Team Altamura vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Altamura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FBC
1 - 0
ASD
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
BIS
0 - 0
ASD
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HYR
0 - 1
ASD
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
NOC
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 0
ASD
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
ASF
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
HYR
2 - 0
CAS
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAS
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 4
MOL
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 1
CAS
16%
22%
61%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |