Spezia vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 1
SPE
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 1
ACL
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
REG
0 - 4
SPE
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ARZ
0 - 3
SPE
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SPE
4 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2002 |
TRI
0 - 0
TRE
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CES
0 - 3
TRI
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
TRI
1 - 0
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRI
35%
29%
37%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 0
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |