Spezia vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPE
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SPE
2 - 0
PIS
46%
28%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FRO
2 - 1
SPE
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
COM
62%
23%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
USC
2 - 2
SPE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 1
PRO
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 0
GRO
45%
26%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
PIS
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 0
GRO
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |