Spezia vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 1
SPE
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 1
SPE
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 0
SPE
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 1
PIS
44%
29%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
USC
2 - 1
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
USC
1 - 1
LIV
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
CTT
4 - 0
USC
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
USC
1 - 0
ASL
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 0
USC
60%
25%
16%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |