Spezia vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
BRE
1 - 0
SPE
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
50%
23%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
MES
4 - 1
SPE
56%
21%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SIR
3 - 1
SPE
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
USC
1 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
ANC
0 - 1
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
USC
1 - 2
SPA
39%
23%
38%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
LIV
1 - 1
USC
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
USC
1 - 0
CAT
50%
23%
28%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |