Spezia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 2
SPE
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 0
VIC
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SPE
4 - 1
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
CTT
1 - 3
SPE
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 2
AVE
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRA
44%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 1
AVE
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 2
PES
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
AVE
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |