Spezia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 0
CES
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPE
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 0
RAV
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 0
SPE
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 1
VIC
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
MES
35%
26%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VIC
2 - 1
AVE
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 3
GRO
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
RAV
0 - 1
AVE
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |