Spezia vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ALV
0 - 1
SPE
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
SPE
3 - 0
LIV
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPE
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 3
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 1
SPE
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
USA
1 - 2
ARZ
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 2
USA
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
USA
0 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
CES
2 - 1
USA
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
USA
1 - 0
ABN
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |