Spezia vs Anconitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1940 |
SPE
4 - 3
PIS
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
SPE
0 - 1
VNZ
37%
23%
40%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
SPE
1 - 0
MOL
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Anconitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
ANC
8 - 1
MOL
35%
22%
42%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
ACM
4 - 0
ANC
81%
12%
6%
|
22 | 79 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
ANC
6 - 1
SPA
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | +2 |