Spezia vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
PIA
1 - 0
SPE
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
SPE
3 - 0
FRO
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ASC
1 - 0
SPE
71%
18%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 1
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 2
SPE
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
TRE
2 - 3
PIS
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
MES
2 - 0
TRE
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 0
PIA
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
RIM
2 - 1
TRE
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TRE
0 - 1
CHI
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |