Spezia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CTT
3 - 1
SPE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ABN
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
VNZ
2 - 1
SPE
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 3
VIC
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 2
SPA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPA
3 - 3
ARZ
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ACL
0 - 4
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 1
ALV
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |