Spezia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 0
FAN
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
SER
1 - 1
SPE
40%
23%
37%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
PIS
2 - 0
SPE
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SPE
5 - 0
VNZ
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPE
55%
21%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
UNI
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
ANC
2 - 3
SPA
34%
23%
43%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SPA
3 - 0
LIV
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 4
SPA
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
SIR
1 - 1
SPA
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |