Spezia vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VIC
4 - 1
SPE
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
TRE
4 - 2
SPE
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
75%
15%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
VER
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SPE
3 - 2
LIV
57%
20%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SIR
58%
21%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 0
USC
74%
14%
11%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SIR
6 - 0
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
SIR
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 0
SIR
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |