Spezia vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
PER
31%
29%
40%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
COM
39%
29%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 0
SPE
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASG
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 1
SAV
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAV
1 - 0
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ACR
0 - 1
SAV
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SAV
2 - 0
PRO
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SAC
2 - 2
SAV
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |