Spezia vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SPE
3 - 1
REG
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
SPA
1 - 1
SPE
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
FAN
2 - 3
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 1
SER
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 3
PIS
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPA
34%
23%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
SAL
3 - 3
FAN
65%
19%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
TRE
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 4
SAL
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
USC
2 - 1
SAL
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |