Spezia vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 0
FAN
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
UNI
2 - 0
SPE
56%
21%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
BRE
4 - 1
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
EMP
1 - 0
SPE
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
SPE
7 - 0
TAR
79%
12%
8%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SAL
1 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAL
56%
22%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SAL
1 - 0
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SAL
2 - 0
REG
51%
22%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
SAL
0 - 2
BRE
48%
22%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |