Spezia vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPE
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPE
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPE
3 - 0
EMP
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRO
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 2
PRO
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
ASS
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BV5
0 - 0
PRO
42%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PRO
4 - 0
VIN
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |