Spezia vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PAD
0 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SPE
3 - 2
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
REG
1 - 0
SPE
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 1
ACP
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
PRO
2 - 0
ACL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
PRO
1 - 0
ABN
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
PRO
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 0
PRO
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |