Spezia vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 2
SPE
38%
30%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 0
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 2
SPE
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
SPE
5 - 2
LEO
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 1
SPE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PES
0 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
PES
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PES
2 - 2
VIC
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
PES
2 - 1
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 5
PES
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |