Spezia vs Pergocrema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
29.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
SPE
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 0
TRA
63%
24%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
USC
3 - 2
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 1
SPE
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPE
3 - 0
PIA
25%
28%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 0
SIR
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
FER
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 0
PER
20%
28%
53%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
FCS
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LAT
1 - 2
PER
23%
29%
48%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |