Spezia vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.4%
Win probability
0.17
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
0.4%
3-2
<0%
+1
3.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
21%
75.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
26.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.2%
-1
30.6%
0-2
22.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
24.2%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0%
-3
13%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.3%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SPE
2 - 3
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 0
SPE
63%
20%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 1
SAL
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SPE
3 - 1
REG
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
SPA
1 - 1
SPE
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1988 |
NAP
1 - 2
SAM
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
FIO
3 - 2
NAP
32%
31%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
NAP
2 - 3
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
VER
1 - 1
NAP
40%
29%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
JUV
3 - 1
NAP
53%
27%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |