Spezia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 1
SPE
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SPE
3 - 0
ACL
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GRO
2 - 1
SPE
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
PIS
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 3
SPE
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2004 |
ASL
2 - 2
NOV
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASL
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAS
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 0
ASL
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
USC
1 - 3
ASL
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |