Spezia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CES
2 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACL
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 2
SPE
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ALZ
0 - 0
SPE
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAD
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PAV
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 1
SPA
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASL
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACL
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |