Spezia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 2
SPE
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 3
CAR
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
SPE
0 - 2
REG
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
SPE
1 - 0
USA
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 2
ASL
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 2
ARZ
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASL
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |