Spezia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPE
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
LAT
0 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 0
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 2
SPE
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LEC
5 - 0
FOL
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 1
LEC
37%
25%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 1
FRO
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |