Spezia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAG
2 - 2
SPE
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 4
SPE
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 0
ATL
14%
19%
68%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
0 - 3
SPE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 4
JUV
12%
20%
68%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 1
LAZ
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LAZ
1 - 3
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ZEN
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 2
LAZ
15%
23%
62%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |