Serie B Playout Playoffs Descenso Final
Global 2-1
Spezia vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 3
SPE
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 2
TRE
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
PIA
2 - 1
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SPE
3 - 4
RIM
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 1
SPE
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
VER
4 - 2
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CES
0 - 1
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
VER
1 - 3
NAP
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 2
VER
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
VER
2 - 2
FRO
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |