Spezia vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SPE
3 - 2
LIV
57%
20%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 3
SPA
40%
22%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 0
FAN
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 1
VER
57%
21%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
VER
1 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
USC
1 - 1
VER
45%
23%
32%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
VER
4 - 1
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
REG
2 - 1
VER
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |