Spezia vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
USC
2 - 0
SPE
52%
22%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
SPE
3 - 0
PRO
87%
8%
5%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 1
SPE
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
UDI
0 - 0
SPE
76%
13%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SPE
3 - 0
CAT
69%
17%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
VER
0 - 1
NAP
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
VER
3 - 0
SIR
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
FAN
4 - 1
VER
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
VER
2 - 2
BRE
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
VER
1 - 1
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |