Spezia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPE
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
ASS
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
TER
1 - 0
SPE
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
ACL
52%
28%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 0
SPE
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 2
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 0
GEN
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GIU
0 - 0
GEN
16%
24%
59%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 0
PRO
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PRO
4 - 3
GEN
20%
27%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |