Spezia vs Fiumana US analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1941 |
SPE
2 - 5
LAZ
39%
24%
38%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
FIU
0 - 1
SPE
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1940 |
SPE
4 - 3
PIS
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
SPE
0 - 1
VNZ
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiumana US
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
FIU
0 - 1
SPE
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
FIU
2 - 1
GEN
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
FIU
3 - 1
PIR
86%
10%
5%
|
83 | 18 | 65 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
FIU
4 - 0
FMO
86%
10%
5%
|
83 | 17 | 66 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
GRP
0 - 1
FIU
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 7 | 76 | 0 |