Spezia vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
SPE
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 0
FCS
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CRO
0 - 2
SPE
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
SPE
15%
24%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SPE
2 - 0
PRO
74%
18%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FER
1 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 0
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FER
3 - 2
VIL
72%
17%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FSD
2 - 2
FER
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
ACM
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |