Spezia vs FC Canavese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
SPE
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
3 - 1
UNI
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
SPE
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 0
PRO
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
SPE
0 - 1
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
FC Canavese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCC
3 - 1
PRO
21%
25%
55%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FCC
1 - 1
VAL
58%
23%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
FCC
75%
17%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FCC
2 - 2
FSD
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |