Spezia vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
TAR
1 - 0
SPE
50%
22%
28%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
SPE
5 - 1
ACP
78%
13%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
VER
2 - 1
SPE
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
SPE
2 - 1
USC
67%
18%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
PRO
0 - 1
SPE
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
EMP
2 - 1
REG
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
UNI
3 - 1
EMP
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
EMP
2 - 0
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 0
EMP
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
FAN
3 - 1
EMP
52%
21%
27%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |