Spezia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ANG
2 - 2
SPE
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 5
SPE
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 0
JAB
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 2
RTV
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 3
NAP
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 0
COM
86%
9%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
COM
1 - 2
USC
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
REG
1 - 4
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PIS
3 - 1
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |