Spezia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
75%
14%
11%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
PIS
1 - 1
SPE
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 5
SPE
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
REG
47%
22%
31%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
MOD
3 - 0
SPE
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 1
PIS
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 4
REG
46%
22%
32%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAT
51%
22%
28%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
USC
1 - 1
CAT
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |