Spezia vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
SPE
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
PIS
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 3
SPE
35%
27%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 2
CTT
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ACL
4 - 4
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 0
ACL
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 2
PIS
37%
30%
34%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARZ
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |