Spezia vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JUS
1 - 2
SPE
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
CTT
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 2
GEN
32%
26%
43%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
4 - 2
PRO
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
CAR
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
REG
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
10%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCS
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |