Spezia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
SPE
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SPE
2 - 0
FER
60%
25%
16%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PIZ
1 - 1
SPE
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPE
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
TER
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 2
PAD
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |