Spezia vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
PIS
2 - 0
SPE
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 0
ABN
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
SPE
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 0
ACL
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
ACL
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2001 |
LIV
3 - 0
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
CES
24%
27%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
MOD
32%
29%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |