Spezia vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MOD
6 - 0
SPE
61%
21%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPE
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 1
MES
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VIC
4 - 1
SPE
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
BRE
4 - 1
FAN
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 4
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
36%
23%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 0
BRE
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
BRE
53%
21%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |