Spezia vs Carbonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 0
SPE
63%
20%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 1
SAL
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SPE
3 - 1
REG
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
SPA
1 - 1
SPE
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
FAN
2 - 3
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
CAR
0 - 2
SIE
26%
23%
52%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
CAR
2 - 4
FIO
18%
21%
62%
|
27 | 85 | 58 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
SIE
2 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACP
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | +2 |