Spezia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ACL
4 - 4
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 0
TRE
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SPE
2 - 2
ARZ
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2002 |
CES
1 - 0
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 1
ALZ
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
REG
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ACP
2 - 1
CTT
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 1
CTT
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
CTT
1 - 0
PIS
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 1
CTT
44%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |