Spezia vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
VER
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SPE
3 - 2
LIV
57%
20%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 3
SPA
40%
22%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
UNI
5 - 0
ANC
80%
12%
8%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 1
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SIR
3 - 1
ANC
77%
13%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
VNZ
2 - 2
ANC
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ANC
0 - 0
TRE
42%
23%
35%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |