Spezia vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
ACP
2 - 1
SPE
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
FIA
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SPE
2 - 0
VIT
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
ACL
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 0
ACI
29%
27%
45%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ACI
3 - 2
PRO
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 1
PIS
36%
31%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PIS
2 - 2
ACI
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |