Spezia vs Pro Sesto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 1
SPE
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
UDI
0 - 0
SPE
76%
13%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SPE
3 - 0
CAT
69%
17%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
75%
14%
11%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
PIS
1 - 1
SPE
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 2
UDI
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
REG
4 - 0
PRO
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 0
ACP
42%
21%
37%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 6
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPA
7 - 1
PRO
87%
8%
5%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |