Spezia vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
VER
2 - 1
SPE
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
SPE
2 - 1
USC
67%
18%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
PRO
0 - 1
SPE
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
SPE
4 - 2
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SPE
2 - 0
UDI
32%
23%
46%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
ACP
1 - 3
SAL
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
FAN
2 - 1
ACP
73%
15%
13%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
ACP
3 - 4
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
ACP
0 - 0
PIS
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
USC
3 - 1
ACP
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |