Spezia vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPE
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2005 |
SPE
1 - 0
GIU
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SPE
1 - 1
CTT
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SSS
1 - 3
SPE
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
SPE
4 - 0
SAL
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAV
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 2
ACL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 1
SAL
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
TER
2 - 1
PAV
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 0
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |