Spezia vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 0
SPE
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
SAN
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GIU
2 - 2
SPE
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CTT
1 - 0
SPE
39%
27%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
SSS
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ACL
1 - 1
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2006 |
SAL
3 - 2
ACL
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ACL
1 - 1
PAV
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
TER
1 - 0
ACL
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ACL
1 - 2
CTT
44%
28%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |